Does Sean Bean Always Die at the End?

The Alpha Sean Bean, shown here to be still alive.

The Alpha Sean Bean, shown here to be still alive.
“Sean Bean TIFF 2015” by NASA/Bill Ingalls. Licensed under Public Domain via Wikimedia Commons .

There’s a quote from a character in The Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Ring, and J.R.R. Tolkein’s character from some book or other, that has been doing the rounds as an internet meme for quite some time: “War makes corpses of us all.”  Of course you all know it, it’s ridiculously famous, after all, one does not simply forget a Faramir quote. Much better than Boromir. In Sean Bean’s case however, the quote might as well be “appearing in a role in television or film makes a corpse of me, Sean Bean.” Sean Bean is well known for dying in films. So much so, that there exists a campaign specifically against the further onscreen killing of Sean Bean. At least, I think it still exists. It might have died.

Basically it is a fairly common assumption that if Sean Bean is in something, he will most likely not make it to the end. However, everyone knows what happens when you assume; you make a prick of yourself. Is it actually true that Sean Bean always dies? In psychology, confirmation bias describes the tendency for people to better recall information that confirms their existing beliefs than information that would refute them. The frequency illusion is where something (it can be an event or just an object) which has recently been brought to a person’s attention suddenly seems to occur or appear with greater frequency than it did before it had been noticed. This is also known as the Baader-Meinhof Phenomenon and once you know about it, you’ll start seeing it everywhere. So it is possible that the appearance of Sean Bean’s repeated celluloid mortality is a function of some common cognitive biases rather than him actually ending more times than a Sunday furniture sale. The following information that was collected to test this may contain spoilers for Sean Bean projects. Unless you believe the appearance of Sean Bean in a cast list is in itself a spoiler.

Using some sort of internet search engine (if you want to find a similar one, you can look it up on Google) all of Sean Bean’s roles in film and television were listed to create a population of Sean Beans. From here forward, the collective noun for Sean Beans used will be “population” rather than the perhaps more common “can” or “cemetery.” Sean Bean’s roles in theatre or performing voiceover in video games were not included due to a combination of being too difficult to include, laziness and the words “Sean Bean” starting to lose all meaning. The actual actor Sean Bean (the Alpha Sean) was also included, as while technically it is an ongoing role, we do know with reasonable certainly that Sean Bean will die at the end of it. The Alpha Sean was not included in any cause of death calculations in case I end up as a suspect in a future murder investigation. Jupiter Ascending was not included for obvious reasons.

The number of times Sean Bean was dead at the end of a film/TV show and the number of times Sean Bean was alive at the end of a film/TV show were counted and used to calculate the incidence of death for the total population of Sean Beans. The incidence rate is the number of new cases of a disorder or death within a population over a specified period of time. This is commonly express in terms of per 100,000 persons per year. In terms of deaths, this in some ways can be seen as equivalent to the Mortality Rate. Some basic demographics, causes of deaths and intentionality of deaths were also calculated.

The demographics for the population of Sean Beans are shown in Table 1.

Table 1. Sean Bean Demographics

Characteristic Sean Bean Numbers
N 75
Mean (SD) age, years 6,0810,851.05 (523,114,369.60)
Species, n (%)
Actor 1 (1.33)
Human 71 (94.67)
Lion 1 (1.33)
Portrait 1 (1.33)
God 1 (1.33)
Survival
Alive, n (%) 45 (60.00)
Dead, n (%) 30 (40.00)

The incidence of Sean Bean deaths across the total existence so far of Sean Beans (6000 BCE to 2072) is 4.85 per 100,000 person per year. The causes of Sean Bean death and intentionality of Sean Bean death are shown in figures 1 and 2, respectively. The most common cause of death was being shot by a gun. The best cause of death was fall from cliff due to a herd of cows. Most Sean Bean deaths were intentional (as a result of homicide) compared with accidental and orcicide.

Figure 1

Figure 1. Cause of Sean Bean death.

Figure 2

Figure 2. Intentionality of Sean Bean death.

The aim of all this Beanian death numbering was to determine if there was any truth to the common belief that Sean Bean always dies at the end. Examination of a fairly complete population of Sean Beans shows that this is not the case, with 60% of Sean Beans managing to survive the time it takes for many film and TV directors to tell a story. If you are a Sean Bean though, it seems you are most likely to die by being shot by a human. There may be some money to be made in a line of Sean Bean-specific bullet-proof vests.

So why is the belief that Sean Bean always shuffles off the mortal coil at the end so common? The application of confirmation bias to this has already been discussed, but for that particular bias to take effect, there must be an existing belief to confirm. The earliest manifestation of Sean Bean’s tendency for premature televisual corpse shenanigans that I could be found was approximately around his fourth appearance. However, at a preliminary glance, Sean Beans don’t seem to kick the bucket particularly often early on in the ascendance of Sean Beans to make any reputational impact.

If we divide the appearance of Sean Beans into tertiles (an ordered distribution divided into three parts, each containing a third of the population, not an aquatic reptile with a shell) and look at the proportion of deaths as time progresses, we get something that looks like figure 3.

Figure 3

Figure 3. Proportion of Sean Bean deaths by Sean Bean time tertile.

We can see that if 3 is the most recent tertile and 1 is the furthest in the past, then the Sean Bean death rate appears to be greatest in the middle of the population’s progression through time. In psychology, the serial position effect describes the tendency for people to recall items earlier (the primacy effect) and later (the recency effect) in a list the best, with items in the middle being recalled the least. This would not explain the Sean Bean always dies reputation, as in such a model we would expect more deaths in the first and last tertile. Besides, one explanation for the serial position effect is that earlier items are stored more effectively in long term memory than the other items, while more recent items are still present in working memory and are thus easily available for recall. This would only apply to these data if people experienced Sean Bean necrosis as a list in front of them, which most people (besides me) don’t. Even if the data matched a serial positioning explanation, it would be a stretch (i.e. wrong) to use it to explain the Sean Bean deceased at the finale reputation phenomenon.

Rise of the Nicole Kidmen would be a good episode of Doctor Who.

Rise of the Nicole Kidmen would be a good episode of Doctor Who.

Characters don’t become instantly well known in popular culture. It takes time for a reputation to build and saturate society. In this respect, perhaps we can consider the middle tertile to be more akin to the starting point for a reputation i.e. Sean Beans will be more well known, with more opinions being formed about them. The Sean Bean death rate here is 52%, meaning that during this period Sean Beans were slightly more likely than not to die at the end. This may be enough to start the rumour of Sean Beans’ non-existence by the credits and establish a source for confirmation bias.

Characters don’t exist in isolation. They usually exist in a complex ecosystem of other populations. The Sean Bean population exists alongside the population of Bruce Willises (Willi?) and the population of Nicole Kidmans (Kidmen?) among others. Important data to consider would therefore be how often Sean Beans die in comparison to other populations. If the comparative death rate of Sean Beans is noticeably higher than that of other comparable populations, then this may explain the Sean Bean clog-popping conundrum. Future “research” should focus on this (I can’t be bothered right now).

It was suggested to me by KTBUG (kgwright73) that the popularity of the mode of presentation of Sean Bean would have an impact on the perception of his tendency for pushing up the daisies. It seems feasible Sean Beans die in more popular things and live in less popular things then the public perception would be that of a gentleman prone to leaving his life behind. To this end (where available) I took an average of lifetime box office takings for films where Sean Bean died and films where Sean Bean lived (figure 4).

Figure 4

Figure 4. Average lifetime box office takings by Sean Bean survival.

Figure 4 shows that films where Sean Bean shook hands with the Grim Reaper on average took more at the box office than films where Sean Bean continued respiring. If we use this as a crude measure of popularity (and it is very crude, subject to bias from missing TV shows and films where I simply couldn’t get the info) and impact on cultural awareness, then films where Sean Bean becomes an ex Sean Bean seem to have made a larger cultural impact. This could certainly be at least one source of the idea that Sean Bean always dies.

Please note, I am in no way suggesting that Sean Bean dying in it makes a film popular. As the old saying goes, “Sean Bean’s death correlation, does not prove film popularity causation.” You all know it.

In conclusion it would seem that Sean Bean’s reputation for always dying at the end is somewhat over exaggerated, with a death rate of approximately 40%. Sean Beans are most likely to die from being shot intentionally by a human or from being in the middle of their career trajectory. The Sean Bean Ex-Parrot Meme may be best explained by a high death rate at a time when Sean Beans were likely to be reaching their maximum prevalence in the public eye and by films which feature a Sean Bean death having made a larger cultural impact than films that feature a living Sean Bean at the end. These perceptions feed into confirmation bias. And then Sean Bean died.

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177 thoughts on “Does Sean Bean Always Die at the End?

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  4. After reading all this it is in my opinion crucial that you compare the incidence of Sean Beans dying with other populations 😉
    Great post bro – comical yet statistical

  5. Reblogged this on daisyblehm and commented:
    I think I agree with the hypothesis that Sean Bean’s deaths may have occurred in more prominent films, thus perpetuating the idea that he always dies. All in all, an interesting read 🙂

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  11. However if you consider the Sharpe productions the Sean Beans seemed to have eternal existence in both the Napoleonic and Indian wars. That does depend if we use each episode as a separate production or just consider each series as a single production. Considering there was a battle or skirmish or some form of potential life threatening element in each episode it would skew the odds and statistics a bit. This is in my very simple and uneducated “Beanian” theory, there may be others who have mathematical references to totally explode this myth.

  12. Congratulations! This post is intelligent, humorous and genuinely funny! I cracked up at several points while reading this. Somehow you have made a statistical investigation entertaining! 🙂

  13. This is marvellous – I salute you – Have you thought about factoring in deaths per ex-wife? He’s had 4 or 5 by the last count…

  14. I love Sean Bean so this post gives me hope for life and also makes me pinch myself because the information is just a google click away! Excellent work, I thoroughly enjoyed reading this!

  15. I wonder whether the perceived Sean Bean mortality rate might be due to prevalence of death in films where he is a goodie, and therefore less expected to die. These Sean Bean deaths will be more salient to the viewing population. Some form of Bernoulli trial on the binary variable Goodie/Baddie might shine some light upon this.

      • So I think we should postulate a Natural Justice Coefficient, running from 0 to 1, thus:

        ( n(goodie, lives) + n(baddie, dies) ) / n(films)

        Off the top of my head, for comparison, Harrison Ford probably has an extremely high NJC, possibly even 1 (I can only think of one film where he’s a baddie, and he dies in it; I can’t think of any other film where he dies), and Christopher Walken’s mid-career plethora of successful villains and psychos probably give him a very low NJC (though what one does about Sleepy Hollow is a bit of a problem, as he’s dead at the start).

      • But is death to the bad guy justice? I think the coefficient needs to be adjusted based on the crime/heroism being considered. Although that maths may be quite complicated.

  16. Fantastic text and research! as a psychologist myself, I really appreciate the effort you’ve put into getting all the numbers correctly. So funny to read as well, you’ve just won a new subscriber :)!

  17. I know that you have rightly disregarded video game appearances, and for obvious reasons. But for argument’s sake, does Sean Bean absorbing the power (and temporary mantle) of a god, doing battle and then ascending count as a death?

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  19. Haha! I love me some pie charts, good job! Do you know what’s really sad? I watched a movie the other day in which Sean Bean managed not to die. And what did I feel? Anger. I honestly felt angry at the filmmakers as though they didn’t realise what Sean Bean is for. Like it’s some kind of movie making law and they clearly didn’t know what they were doing. Tragic.

  20. Pingback: Shared from another blog but it’s a brilliant post! Does Sean Bean Always Die at the End? | an adventure through space and time

  21. I know a few movies where Sean Bean has lived (National Treasure, Jupiter Ascending) but I remember reading an article on Nerdist that John Hurt has suffered the most deaths of any actor- 43 in total, Beanybaby comes only 4th on the list

  22. Fantastic post! Even if simply for the wonderful plethora of euphemisms for death. Chuckled all the way through it. I have a healthy ‘loathing’ of the Bean’s appearance in any moving picture. The realisation of which is usually met with a long drawn out groan (which is also a good description of his delivery IMO:)
    Long live the Bean…. or not, as is his propensity (statistically). Oh, and I do love a good pie chart btw.

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